Profitable Parlays - Fact Or Fiction?

· 5 min read
Profitable Parlays - Fact Or Fiction?

There are countless 'handicapping services' in the business of providing people who have parlays. They'll tout win rates much like some of the most impressive straight wager cappers. Needless to say, so as to they refer to money line parlays as 'safe' bets. On many of these sites you may have the privilege of dealing with some type of royalty in the field of parlay wagering. Regrettably, thousands will undoubtedly be fooled by this fiction again this football season.

The truth is that exotic wagers keep sports books in business. Next time you're in Vegas check out the discarded tickets you see spread all over the place. It's safe to assume that you will find the majority of these losers are made of such bets placed on both sports and racing. Of all sucker bets available to sports bettors, the parlay is king. Bettors are lured in by the promise of an enormous payout while disregarding the point that there is absolutely no reasonable expectation of any return on the investment.

The house edge on a standard straight wager at -110 is 4.5%. Weighed against many table games this is really a fairly raised percentage. Plenty of table games and slots provide a better value for the average bettor placing a random wager. However, everybody knows that betting on sports isn't anything like throwing some dice at the back wall.

Chance plays a role in everything the house has to offer. Additionally, there are steps that could be taken to decrease the edge in only about every game. Nowhere in the casino are elements such as skill and preparation more useful than the sports book. The edge on a straight wager could be reversed in the bettors favor through the use of statistics and expertise in a sport. However, a double digit house edge can never be overcome over time.

# of Teams | Actual Odds | Typical Payout | House Edge

2 | 3/1 | 2.6/1 | 10.00%

3 | 7/1 | 6/1 | 12.50%

4 | 15/1 | 10/1 | 31.25%

5 | 31/1 | 20/1 | 34.38%


6 | 63/1 | 40/1 | 35.94%

7 | 127/1 | 75/1 | 40.63%

8 | 255/1 | 150/1 | 41.02%

9 | 511/1 | 300/1 | 41.21%

10 | 1023/1 | 700/1 | 31.54%

As you can plainly see every parlay it is possible to possibly bet includes a whopping 10% house edge or better.  link Hi88  are more consistent with keno, and they are equally impossible to overcome in the end. There is absolutely no mystery surrounding the planet of parlays. Bettors are drawn to risking a small amount of money for large payouts. The games which are frequently played in the casino are slot machines that offer thousands as well as millions in progressive jackpots. The mentality of the bettors is 'Go big, or go home.' The casino is clearly pleased to oblige as an incredible number of bettors go home with nothing within their pockets every year.

It really is fair to assume that the biggest number of losing bets that a book accepts are exotic wagers of add up to or double the house minimum. The reason being most bettors do not have a meaningful bankroll set aside for sports betting. Given that they don't believe they can make any real money by placing $25-50 on several games weekly they continue taking parlays for $20 or less. By doing this they essentially ensure a significant loss by the finish of the growing season. Meanwhile, should they only placed straight wagers at that same level they might limit their potential losses to a few units at most.

Many bettors assume that because they're keeping how big is their bets low they're not taking on a significant risk. This analysis is flawed because it ignores several factors. Most of all, it really is my experience that most bettors usually do not place just one single parlay weekly. In football this implies at the least 34 parlays are placed during the regular season. In baseball that number can easily exceed 100. With a minimal unit bet that is still a dangerous number of wagers to put with this type of high house edge. For instance, in case you are placing only 5 team parlays your expectation ought to be to lose about $35 for every $100 you wager. As the number of bets you place increases it really is inevitable that you'll hit that $100 mark many times over.

Using parlays as a side bet will usually result in increasing your losses or erasing any profits you were able to make on straight wagers. In 2009 2009, I had litigant who broke even with increasing his bankroll by 45% using my picks. He managed to do that by placing 'small' side bets including parlays, reverses, and teasers. That is an expensive lesson to understand especially when you consider I issued an identical warning to him.

If you are going to follow his lead and continue using parlays I've a few pointers that may help you in the long run. First of all, the very best value of most parlays is actually the three team parlay. The difference between your house edge on a 2 & 3 teamer is insignificant, however the payout is a lot more than twice as much. If you take a glance at the graph you should understand why I'd never bet a parlay of 4 teams or even more. However, if you're going to make this investment listed below are two useful tips:

If you are going to bet a four or five 5 team parlay, always make it 6 or even 10. The difference between the house edge to add one or two 2 more teams is within 5 percentage points and the payout is significantly higher for both options. The home edge on a 10 teamer is virtually the same as a 4 team parlay, however the actual odds of hitting it are over 1,000 to 1 1.
If you are going to throw your cash away chasing huge payouts on 7, 8, and 9 team parlays then just bet the 10 teamer. The House edge is approximately 10 points less than all three of those bets and it typically pays about 700/1.

Setting reasonable goals and being patient while attempting to achieve them may be the sign of a profitable professional bettor. Greed should be kept in check in order to be successful. In this regard, every bettor has two options. It is possible to chase high returns while assuming plenty of unnecessary risk. Or you can minimize your exposure to several units while maintaining an acceptable expectation to increase your bankroll by 50%...The choice is yours.