Profitable Parlays - Fact Or Fiction?

· 4 min read
Profitable Parlays - Fact Or Fiction?

There are countless 'handicapping services' in the business of providing people with parlays. They'll tout win rates much like many of the most impressive straight wager cappers. Needless to say, so as to they refer to money line parlays as 'safe' bets. On a number of these sites you may have the privilege of working with some type of royalty in the field of parlay wagering. Regrettably, thousands will undoubtedly be fooled by this fiction again this football season.

The fact is that exotic wagers keep sports books running a business. Next time you are in Vegas check out the discarded tickets you see spread all over the place. It's safe to assume that might be the majority of these losers are made up of such bets placed on both sports and racing. Of all sucker bets open to sports bettors, the parlay is king. Bettors are lured in by the promise of an enormous payout while disregarding the truth that there is no reasonable expectation of any return on investment.

The home edge on a standard straight wager at -110 is 4.5%. Compared with  nhà cái sv288  is actually a fairly high percentage. Many table games and slots provide a better value for the common bettor placing a random wager. However, everybody knows that betting on sports isn't anything like throwing a set of dice at the trunk wall.

Chance is important in everything the house provides. Additionally, there are steps which might be taken to decrease the edge in just about every game. Nowhere in the casino are elements such as skill and preparation more useful than the sports book. The edge on a straight wager could be reversed in the bettors favor through the use of statistics and expertise in a sport. However, a double digit house edge can't ever be overcome in the long term.

# of Teams | Actual Odds | Typical Payout | House Edge

2 | 3/1 | 2.6/1 | 10.00%

3 | 7/1 | 6/1 | 12.50%

4 | 15/1 | 10/1 | 31.25%

5 | 31/1 | 20/1 | 34.38%

6 | 63/1 | 40/1 | 35.94%


7 | 127/1 | 75/1 | 40.63%

8 | 255/1 | 150/1 | 41.02%

9 | 511/1 | 300/1 | 41.21%

10 | 1023/1 | 700/1 | 31.54%

As you can see every parlay it is possible to possibly bet includes a whopping 10% house edge or better. Such casino advantages tend to be more consistent with keno, plus they are equally impossible to overcome over time. There is no mystery surrounding the planet of parlays. Bettors are attracted to risking handful of money for large payouts. The games that are frequently played in the casino are slots that offer thousands and even millions in progressive jackpots. The mentality of these bettors is 'Go big, or go back home.' The casino is actually happy to oblige as an incredible number of bettors go back home with nothing within their pockets every year.

It is fair to assume that the biggest amount of losing bets that a book accepts are exotic wagers of add up to or double the home minimum. Simply because most bettors do not have a meaningful bankroll set aside for sports betting. Given that they don't believe they can make any real cash by placing $25-50 on a few games weekly they continue taking parlays for $20 or less. Using this method they essentially ensure a substantial loss by the finish of the growing season. Meanwhile, should they only placed straight wagers at that same level they would limit their potential losses to a few units at most.

Many bettors assume that because they're keeping the size of their bets low they're not taking on a significant risk. This analysis is flawed because it ignores several factors. Most of all, it is my experience that most bettors usually do not place just one parlay per week. In football this means at the least 34 parlays are placed through the regular season. In baseball that number can simply exceed 100. With a low unit bet this is still a dangerous amount of wagers to put with this type of high house edge. For example, should you be placing only 5 team parlays your expectation should be to lose about $35 for each and every $100 you wager. Because the amount of bets you place increases it really is inevitable that you will hit that $100 mark several times over.

Using parlays as a side bet will usually result in upping your losses or erasing any profits you were able to make on straight wagers. In 2009 2009, I had litigant who broke even with increasing his bankroll by 45% using my picks. He were able to do this by placing 'small' side bets including parlays, reverses, and teasers. That is an expensive lesson to understand especially when you take into account I issued an identical warning to him.

If you are likely to follow his lead and continue using parlays I've a few pointers that will help over time. First of all, the best value of most parlays is actually the three team parlay. The difference between your house edge on a 2 & 3 teamer is insignificant, however the payout is more than twice as much. If you take a glance at the graph you need to understand why I would never bet a parlay of 4 teams or more. However, if you're going to make such an investment here are two useful tips:

If you are going to bet a 4 or 5 5 team parlay, always ensure it is 6 or even 10. The difference between the house edge to add 1 or 2 2 more teams is at 5 percentage points and the payout is significantly higher for both options. The house edge on a 10 teamer is virtually exactly like a 4 team parlay, but the actual probability of hitting it are over 1,000 to at least one 1.
If you are going to throw your money away chasing huge payouts on 7, 8, and 9 team parlays then just bet the 10 teamer. THE HOME edge is approximately 10 points less than all three of these bets and it typically pays about 700/1.

Setting reasonable goals and being patient while attempting to achieve them is the sign of a profitable professional bettor. Greed should be kept in check in order to be successful. In this regard, every bettor has two options. You can chase high returns while assuming a huge amount of unnecessary risk. Or you can minimize your exposure to several units while maintaining an acceptable expectation to increase your bankroll by 50%...The choice is yours.